20 Jul · 23:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Melashenko
ELO 1437
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Derevynskyi
DD
🇺🇦Dmytro Derevynskyi
ELO 1543
FormWLWLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Derevynskyi
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H40-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-24)