21 Jul · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Khairov
ELO 1464
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1540
FormLWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H29-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-23)