21 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1498
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1565
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H34-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-23)