21 Jul · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1409
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1472
FormWLWLL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (57)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H23-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-12)