21 Jul · 09:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1722
FormWWLWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Pesternikov
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1521
FormWWLLL
70%
30%
🌟Pesternikov stays under total as favourite 62% (117)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~71 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
25%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+201
H2H25-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)