21 Jul · 12:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1722
FormWWLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Pesternikov
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1612
FormWWLLW
62%
38%
🌟Pesternikov stays under total as favourite 62% (117)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~73 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H42-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-24)