21 Jul · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BZ
🇺🇦Bohdan Zaika
ELO 1499
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Tymofeev
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1586
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Tymofeev
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H35-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-15)