21 Jul · 10:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1463
FormLLWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1722
FormWWLWW
25%
75%
🌟Pesternikov stays under total as favourite 62% (117)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~70 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+259
H2H11-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+259)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-4)