21 Jul · 12:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1463
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kozachuk
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1530
FormLLWWW
43%
57%
🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (63)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H14-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-2)