21 Jul · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1588
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kolman
MS
🇺🇦Matej Svitac
ELO 1542
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
🌟Svitac covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Kolman
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H6-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)