21 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1492
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Prylepa
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1468
FormLLWWW
53%
47%
🌟Prylepa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (95)
Fair odds · Prylepa
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H48-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.