21 Jul · 19:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1493
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kryvoshyi
AD
🇺🇦Andriy Didyk
ELO 1427
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
🌟Kryvoshyi stays under total as favourite 77% (22)
Fair odds · Kryvoshyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H47-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-28)