21 Jul · 14:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1643
FormLLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Horokh
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1766
FormWWWLW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Horokh
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+123
H2H72-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-48)