21 Jul · 17:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1578
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tymofeev
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1586
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Osadchyi covers set handicap as underdog 65% (97)
Fair odds · Tymofeev
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.