21 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1582
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Savoliuk
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1549
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Savoliuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H33-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.