21 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ivchuk
ELO 1679
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ivchuk
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1666
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Yurkov covers set handicap as underdog 75% (44)
Fair odds · Ivchuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H70-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.