21 Jul · 15:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ivchuk
ELO 1679
FormLWLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Ivchuk
PP
🇺🇦Pavel Plakushchyi
ELO 1554
FormWLLWL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Ivchuk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H10-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-1)