21 Jul · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1562
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1627
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Derevianko🌟Derevianko covers set handicap as underdog 62% (154)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H10-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)