21 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VZ
🇺🇦Viktor Ziakun
ELO 1531
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ziakun
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1525
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 21% · 4.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.