21 Jul · 20:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KT
🇺🇦Kyrylo Tkachenko
ELO 1520
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tkachenko
VH
🇺🇦Valerii Hel
ELO 1472
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hel🌟Hel covers set handicap as underdog 62% (32)
Fair odds · Tkachenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)