21 Jul · 13:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Matej Svitac
ELO 1542
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Svitac
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1499
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
🌟Svitac rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (44)
Fair odds · Svitac
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)