21 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1409
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dvoracek
AD
🇺🇦Adam Dvoracek
ELO 1478
FormLWWLL
43%
57%
🌟Puk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (34)
Fair odds · Dvoracek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)