21 Jul · 15:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1614
FormWLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Horokh
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1766
FormWWWLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Horokh
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H164-102
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (164-102)