21 Jul · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1493
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kheresko
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1527
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.