21 Jul · 16:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1614
FormWLLLW
91%Win chancemodel fair 1.10Ponomarenko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2165
FormWWWWW
9%
91%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 91% · 1.10vsMarket 89% · 1.13· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 80%Total ~67 pts
0-3
53%
1-3
27%
2-3
12%
3-2
5%
3-1
3%
Elo Gap+551
H2H145-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+551)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (145-11)