21 Jul · 10:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1522
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1614
FormLWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)