21 Jul · 12:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1588
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kolman
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1499
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kolman
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H16-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-8)