21 Jul · 19:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1586
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tymofeev
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1530
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (134)
Fair odds · Tymofeev
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)