21 Jul · 14:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
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🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1539
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolesnykov
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1530
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Solomko🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (134)
Fair odds · Kolesnykov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H12-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.