21 Jul · 12:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1544
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Emets
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1540
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Emets
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H19-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.