21 Jul · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1409
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vorel
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1491
FormWWWLL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (73)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H12-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)