21 Jul · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1750
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hryban
VH
🇺🇦Vadym Hryban
ELO 1795
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Hryban
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H71-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (71-38)