21 Jul · 14:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1614
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Riadynskyi
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1582
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H27-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.