21 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AD
🇺🇦Adam Dvoracek
ELO 1478
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vorel
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1491
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dvoracek🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (73)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.