21 Jul · 11:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Khairov
ELO 1464
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Khairov
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1456
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
🌟Khairov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (38)
Fair odds · Khairov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.