21 Jul · 12:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1522
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1627
FormWWWWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)