21 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1525
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Syksa
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1468
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H55-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-29)