21 Jul · 10:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1834
FormLWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Danyliuk
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1676
FormWLWWW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H120-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (120-50)