21 Jul · 14:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1540
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Volkov
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1600
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H78-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (78-49)