21 Jul · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1613
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Radkovsky
MS
🇺🇦Matej Svitac
ELO 1542
FormWWWWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Svitac🌟Svitac covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)