21 Jul · 14:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1586
FormWWWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Tymofeev
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1396
FormLLLLW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Tymofeev
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+190
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)