21 Jul · 16:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1493
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Melnik
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1516
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Melnik covers set handicap as favourite 71% (24)
Fair odds · Melnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H9-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.