21 Jul · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1627
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lievshin
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1549
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)