21 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Seliuchenko
ELO 1617
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Marushchak
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1618
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Seliuchenko covers set handicap as underdog 69% (35)
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.