21 Jul · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Seliuchenko
ELO 1617
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1666
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Seliuchenko🌟Seliuchenko covers set handicap as underdog 69% (35)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)