21 Jul · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1539
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kolesnykov
BZ
🇺🇦Bohdan Zaika
ELO 1499
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kolesnykov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.