21 Jul · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1605
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Maltsev
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1522
FormWWWLW
59%
41%
🌟Kovalchuk covers set handicap as underdog 62% (85)
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H5-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)