21 Jul · 17:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1587
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1657
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Burylov🌟Burylov covers set handicap as underdog 68% (47)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H20-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-18)