21 Jul · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1522
FormWWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1616
FormWWWWL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kovalchuk🌟Storozhenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (112)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)