21 Jul · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hainiuk
ELO 1477
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Elfemov
IE
🇺🇦Ivan Elfemov
ELO 1499
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Elfemov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (62)
Fair odds · Elfemov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.